Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 19, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Stuttgart
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
28.73%	24.17%	47.1%

Both teams to score 57.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52%

44.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15%

66.85%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37%

64.63%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98%

19.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.42%

50.58%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 28.73%

Bayer Leverkusen 47.1%

Draw 24.16%

Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.05% 1-0 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.73%	1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 9.39% 0-1 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.25% Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart

19.4%

Draw

16.7%

Bayer Leverkusen

63.9%