Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 32.09% | 26.76% | 41.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% | 54.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% | 75.45% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% | 31.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% | 67.65% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% | 25.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% | 60.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.4% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.15% |