Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 10, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
3 - 2
Crotone

Verde (63'), Maggiore (89'), Erlic (90+2')
Ismajli (33')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Djidji (40'), Simy (78')
Reca (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Crotone
56.55%	22.72%	20.73%

Both teams to score 53.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43%

45.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1%

67.9%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09%

15.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85%

45.15%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93%

36.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15%

72.85%

Score Analysis

Spezia 56.54%

Crotone 20.73%

Draw 22.71%

Spezia	Draw	Crotone
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.7% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.54%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 5.85% 1-2 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.73%