Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.05%. A win for Torino had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
| 23.16% | 21.78% | 55.05% |
| Both teams to score 60.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% | 38.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% | 60.62% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% | 29.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% | 65.85% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% | 13.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% | 41.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 6% 1-0 @ 5.02% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.16% | 1-1 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 6.42% 0-3 @ 5.3% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.92% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.05% |