Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
| 25.02% | 23.01% | 51.97% |
| Both teams to score 58.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% | 42.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% | 64.49% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% | 30.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% | 66.49% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% | 16.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.21% | 45.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.97% |