Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 36.85% | 25.22% | 37.92% |
| Both teams to score 56.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% | 46.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% | 68.95% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% | 24.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% | 59.4% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% | 24.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% | 58.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.95% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.92% |