Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Apr 7, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
2 - 1
Napoli

Ronaldo (13'), Dybala (73')
Sandro (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Insigne (90' pen.)
Koulibaly (22'), Rrahmani (81')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Napoli
54.43%	22.08%	23.5%

Both teams to score 59.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.65%

39.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32%

61.68%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54%

14.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.58%

42.42%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94%

30.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8%

66.2%

Score Analysis

Juventus 54.43%

Napoli 23.5%

Draw 22.07%

Juventus	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.43%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.07%	1-2 @ 6.07% 0-1 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.02% Total : 23.5%