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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Crotone logo

Napoli
4 - 3
Crotone

Insigne (19'), Osimhen (22'), Mertens (34'), Di Lorenzo (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Simy (25', 48'), Messias (59')
Rispoli (19'), Benali (67'), Pereira (78'), Rojas Zamora (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 7.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawCrotone
78.66%13.37%7.97%
Both teams to score 51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.86%52.14%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79%6.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54%23.46%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71%45.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84%81.16%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.65%
    Crotone 7.97%
    Draw 13.37%
NapoliDrawCrotone
2-0 @ 10.86%
3-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.81%
4-0 @ 7%
4-1 @ 5.54%
5-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-1 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 2.2%
6-0 @ 1.8%
6-1 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 78.65%
1-1 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 3.41%
0-0 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.37%
1-2 @ 2.45%
0-1 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 7.97%

How you voted: Napoli vs Crotone

Napoli
96.2%
Draw
0.0%
Crotone
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 10
Crotone
0-4
Napoli

Cuomo (45'), Pereira (53'), Reca (67')
Petriccione (50')
Insigne (31'), Lozano (58'), Demme (76'), Petagna (90+1')
Koulibaly (6'), Lobotka (81'), Politano (84')
May 20, 2018 5pm
Dec 29, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2017 2pm
Napoli
3-0
Crotone
Insigne (32' pen., 70'), Mertens (66' pen.)
Rog (27')

Martella (42'), Crisetig (54'), Ferrari (87')
Oct 23, 2016 2pm
Crotone
1-2
Napoli
Rossi (89')
Ferrari (32'), Crisetig (89')
Callejon (18'), Maksimovic (33')
Gabbiadini (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
12-6
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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