Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
4 - 3
Crotone

Insigne (19'), Osimhen (22'), Mertens (34'), Di Lorenzo (72')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Simy (25', 48'), Messias (59')
Rispoli (19'), Benali (67'), Pereira (78'), Rojas Zamora (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 7.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Crotone
78.66%	13.37%	7.97%

Both teams to score 51.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.22%

30.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.86%

52.14%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.79%

6.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.54%

23.46%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.71%

45.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.84%

81.16%

Score Analysis

Napoli 78.65%

Crotone 7.97%

Draw 13.37%

Napoli	Draw	Crotone
2-0 @ 10.86% 3-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.81% 4-0 @ 7% 4-1 @ 5.54% 5-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.16% 5-1 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-0 @ 1.8% 6-1 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.02% Total : 78.65%	1-1 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 3.41% 0-0 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.37%	1-2 @ 2.45% 0-1 @ 2.23% Other @ 3.29% Total : 7.97%

How you voted: Napoli vs Crotone

Napoli

96.2%

Draw

0.0%

Crotone

3.8%