/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
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Matteo Ricci
34'
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Nahuel Estevez
58'
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Luca Vignali
62'
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Roberto Piccoli
64'
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Elseid Hysaj
6'
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Piotr Zielinski
15'
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Victor Osimhen
23'
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Victor Osimhen
44'
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Victor Osimhen
65'
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Hirving Lozano
79'
Spezia vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Spezia
17.62%
Draw
20.54%
Napoli
61.84%
Both Teams to Score:
55.57%
Goals
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Over 3.5
37.12%
Under 3.5
62.88%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
63.58%
Under 0.5
36.43%
Over 1.5
26.79%
Under 1.5
73.21%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
87.41%
Under 0.5
12.59%
Over 1.5
61.32%
Under 1.5
38.68%
Score analysis
Spezia
17.62%
Draw
20.54%
Napoli
61.84%
Spezia
2-1
@
4.85%
1-0 @ 4.63%
2-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.62%
1-0 @ 4.63%
2-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.62%
Draw
1-1
@
9.6%
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.54%
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.54%
Napoli
1-2
@
9.95%
0-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-3 @ 6.87%
0-3 @ 6.8%
1-4 @ 3.56%
0-4 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 3.47%
2-4 @ 1.8%
1-5 @ 1.48%
0-5 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 61.84%
0-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-3 @ 6.87%
0-3 @ 6.8%
1-4 @ 3.56%
0-4 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 3.47%
2-4 @ 1.8%
1-5 @ 1.48%
0-5 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 61.84%
Ardian Ismajli
77'