Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 8, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 4
Napoli

Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Napoli
17.62%	20.54%	61.84%

Both teams to score 55.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5%

40.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12%

62.88%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.58%

36.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79%

73.21%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.41%

12.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.32%

38.68%

Score Analysis

Spezia 17.62%

Napoli 61.84%

Draw 20.54%

Spezia	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 4.85% 1-0 @ 4.63% 2-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.62%	1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.54%	1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.87% 0-3 @ 6.8% 1-4 @ 3.56% 0-4 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.47% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.48% 0-5 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.59% Total : 61.84%

How you voted: Spezia vs Napoli

Spezia

14.0%

Draw

12.0%

Napoli

74.0%