Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%).
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
43.41% | 26.94% | 29.65% |
Both teams to score 49.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.5% | 55.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.32% | 76.68% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% | 25.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% | 60.14% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% | 33.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% | 70.47% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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