Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%).
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 43.41% | 26.94% | 29.65% |
| Both teams to score 49.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% | 55.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% | 76.68% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% | 25.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% | 60.14% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% | 33.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% | 70.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.65% |