Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Mar 15, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Bankwest Stadium (Sydney)

Western Sydney
4 - 3
Wellington

Wilmering (23'), Mutch (52'), Duke (65'), Yeboah (84')
Troisi (17'), Gordon (59'), McGowan (63')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Davila (7'), Devlin (32'), Hemed (64' pen.)
Talay (68'), Piscopo (73'), Lewis (77'), Davila (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
37.69%	25.03%	37.27%

Both teams to score 57.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19%

45.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.88%

68.12%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04%

23.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81%

58.19%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81%

24.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48%

58.51%

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 37.7%

Wellington Phoenix 37.27%

Draw 25.03%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.4% 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 37.7%	1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03%	1-2 @ 8.34% 0-1 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.27%