Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Ahli in this match.