Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Khaleej win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Khaleej win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Khaleej would win this match.