Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.