Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 10.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.