Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Jan 16, 2025 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 1
Al Raed

Benzema (20'), Bergwijn (45+6'), Al-Oboud (72'), Aouar (78')
(35'), Abdulelah (43'), Aouar (49'), Rajkovic (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hazazi (58')
Hazazi (60'), Al-Amri (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Raed, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 1-1 Al Ittihad
Saturday, January 11 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Raed

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 0-2 Damac
Friday, January 10 at 3.05pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 75.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Raed
75.44% (-0.185 -0.19)14.9% (0.101 0.1)9.66% (0.08 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.42% (-0.253 -0.25)32.58% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.76% (-0.294 -0.29)54.24% (0.289 0.29)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)7.22% (0.091 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.81% (-0.247 -0.25)26.19% (0.244 0.24)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.03% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)42.97% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.73% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)79.27% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 75.44%
    Al Raed 9.66%
    Draw 14.9%
Al IttihadDrawAl Raed
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.39% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 75.44%
1-1 @ 6.89% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.1% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.9%
1-2 @ 2.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.66%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Raed

Al Ittihad
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Al Raed
0.0%
22
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1-3
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Al-Subaie (45+1')
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