Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.