Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
1 - 0
Al-Ahli

Al-Shehri (42')
Al Amri (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Asmari (64'), Ibanez (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, October 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
43.58%23.96% (0.014999999999997 0.01)32.46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)41.68% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.08% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)19.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (-0.052 -0.05)51.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)24.98% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.061 -0.06)59.63% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 43.58%
    Al-Ahli 32.46%
    Draw 23.95%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.46%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Ahli

Al Ittihad
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Al-Ahli
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Al-Ahli
1-0
Al Ittihad
Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')
> Preview
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
> Preview