Saudi Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Saleh Al-Shehri 42' goal
  • Abdulelah Al Amri 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Asmari 64'
  • yellowcard Ibanez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 90'+4'

Al Ittihad vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 7.00pm
Al Riyadh 0 - 1 Al Ittihad
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 25, 2024 7.00pm
Al-Ahli 1 - 1 Al Okhdood
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result

Al Ittihad 43.58%
Draw 23.96% (+0.02)
Al-Ahli 32.46% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.49% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.33% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.68% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 35.92% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.08% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.96% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.04% (+0.06)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 80.64% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 19.37% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.84% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 51.16% (+0.06)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 75.02% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 24.98% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 40.37% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 59.63% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 43.58%
Draw 23.95%
Al-Ahli 32.46%
Al Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.94% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.95%
Al-Ahli
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.71% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.46%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • Ali Al-Asmari 6' yellowcard
  • Firas Albirakan 34' goal
  • Ali Majrashi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saleh Al-Amri 79'
  • yellowcard Fawaz Al-Sagour 90'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Fabinho 35' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 75' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 31'
  • yellowcard Matthias Jaissle 36'
  • yellowcard Edouard Mendy 61'
  • yellowcard Riyad Mahrez 70'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 86'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Aljohani 90'+3'