MX23RW : Sunday, April 6 19:45:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
1 - 0
Al-Ahli

Al-Shehri (42')
Al Amri (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Asmari (64'), Ibanez (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, October 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al-Ahli

Enjoying an excellent winning run, Al Ittihad will be confident of strengthening their case for the Saudi Arabian crown with maximum points on Thursday night. Al-Ahli were frustratingly held by a relegation-threatened outfit last time out, meaning that the visitors in Jeddah could struggle this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
43.58%23.96% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 32.46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)41.68% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.08% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)19.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (-0.052 -0.05)51.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)24.98% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.061 -0.06)59.63% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 43.58%
    Al-Ahli 32.46%
    Draw 23.95%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.46%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Ahli

Al Ittihad
Draw
Al-Ahli
Al Ittihad
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Al-Ahli
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Al-Ahli
1-0
Al Ittihad
Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad26195261263562
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal26183573314257
3Al-Nassr26166456282854
4Al Quadisiya26164638221652
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli26154750272349
6Al ShababAl Shabab25134847301743
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun2610792924537
8Al Ettifaq26106103337-436
9Al Riyadh2697102735-834
10Al Khaleej2696113238-633
11Al Kholood2694133449-1531
12Damac2677123041-1128
13Al Fayha26511101933-1426
14Al Orubah2682162251-2926
15Al Okhdood2665152640-1423
16Al Fateh2665152850-2223
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2555153054-2420
18Al RaedAl Raed2653182948-1918


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