MX23RW : Friday, April 4 11:25:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
1 - 0
Al-Ahli

Al-Shehri (42')
Al Amri (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Asmari (64'), Ibanez (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, October 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al-Ahli

Enjoying an excellent winning run, Al Ittihad will be confident of strengthening their case for the Saudi Arabian crown with maximum points on Thursday night. Al-Ahli were frustratingly held by a relegation-threatened outfit last time out, meaning that the visitors in Jeddah could struggle this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
43.58%23.96% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 32.46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)41.68% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.08% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)19.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (-0.052 -0.05)51.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)24.98% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.061 -0.06)59.63% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 43.58%
    Al-Ahli 32.46%
    Draw 23.95%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.46%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Ahli

Al Ittihad
Draw
Al-Ahli
Al Ittihad
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Al-Ahli
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Al-Ahli
1-0
Al Ittihad
Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad25194259243561
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal25183472284457
3Al-Nassr25156453272651
4Al Quadisiya25163637211651
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli25153748252348
6Al ShababAl Shabab25134847301743
7Al Ettifaq25105103236-435
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun259792724334
9Al Riyadh2596102735-833
10Al Kholood2594123447-1331
11Al Khaleej2586113037-730
12Damac2576123041-1127
13Al Orubah2582152250-2826
14Al Fayha25510101832-1425
15Al Fateh2564152749-2222
16Al Okhdood2555152540-1520
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2555153054-2420
18Al RaedAl Raed2553172846-1818


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