Saudi Pro League Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Ad Dammam
  • Asiri Haitham 39' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 43' goal
  • Ziyad Al-Johani 88' yellowcard
  • Iker Almena 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ziyad Al-Johani 90'+13'

Al Quadisiya vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Quadisiya

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Sep 19, 2024 4.40pm
Al Okhdood 0 - 0 Al Quadisiya
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Julian Quinones

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Sep 20, 2024 4.55pm
Al-Ahli 4 - 2 Damac
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quadisiya would win this match.

Result

Al Quadisiya 38.63% (+4.17)
Draw 24.85% (+0.43)
Al-Ahli 36.52% (-4.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.28% (-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.03% (-1.71)
Under 2.5 44.97% (+1.70)
Over 3.5 32.68% (-1.66)
Under 3.5 67.32% (+1.66)
Over 4.5 16.56% (-1.22)
Under 4.5 83.44% (+1.21)

Al Quadisiya Goals

Over 0.5 76.9% (+1.48)
Under 0.5 23.09% (-1.48)
Over 1.5 43.06% (+2.12)
Under 1.5 56.94% (-2.12)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 75.78% (-3.08)
Under 0.5 24.21% (+3.08)
Over 1.5 41.45% (-4.57)
Under 1.5 58.55% (+4.57)

Score analysis

Al Quadisiya 38.63%
Draw 24.84%
Al-Ahli 36.52%
Al Quadisiya
2-1 @ 8.52% (+0.57)
1-0 @ 8.2% (+0.91)
2-0 @ 6.01% (+0.89)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.44)
3-2 @ 2.95% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.54)
4-1 @ 1.53% (+0.22)
4-2 @ 1.08% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-82.93)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.59% (+0.40)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
Al-Ahli
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.57)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.65)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.67)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.35)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.60)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.40)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.24)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.52%