Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quadisiya would win this match.