Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Ahli
42.51% ( -0.12)	21.87% ( 0)	35.62% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 69.51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.67% (

0.01)

30.32% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.42% (

0.01)

51.58% (

-0.01)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79% (

-0.04)

15.2% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.16% (

-0.08)

43.84% (

0.08)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97% (

0.06)

18.02% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.09% (

0.1)

48.9% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 42.51%

Al-Ahli 35.62%

Draw 21.87%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 42.51%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.62%