Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mohammed Bin Saud Al-Qasimi Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 0
Al-Ahli


Al Fahad (63'), Al-Subaie (80')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Raed

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Raed
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 5-1 Abha
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
16.79% (0.263 0.26)21.23% (0.186 0.19)61.98% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 51.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.344 -0.34)45.07% (0.344 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.332 -0.33)67.42% (0.331 0.33)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.121 0.12)40.15% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.111 0.11)76.79% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (-0.248 -0.25)13.99% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (-0.491 -0.49)41.5% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 16.79%
    Al-Ahli 61.97%
    Draw 21.23%
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.092 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.34% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.79%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.23%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 61.97%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Ahli

Al Raed
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Ahli
100%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Al-Ahli
0-0
Al Raed
Hamidou (3'), Al-Majhad (90+5')
Sayoud (90+14'), Moreira (90+14'), Fouzair (90+15')