Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-3 Al-Hilal
Friday, May 3 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
22.68% (-0.361 -0.36)24.14% (0.539 0.54)53.17% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-2.151 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-2.636 -2.64)49.31% (2.627 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (-2.423 -2.42)71.36% (2.414 2.41)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-1.795 -1.8)36.28% (1.786 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-1.866 -1.87)73.06% (1.856 1.86)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51% (-1.057 -1.06)18.48% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.3% (-1.81 -1.81)49.69% (1.801 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 22.68%
    Al-Hilal 53.17%
    Draw 24.13%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.398 0.4)
2-1 @ 5.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.68%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.692 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.56% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.38% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.17%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Hilal

Al-Ahli
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')