Saudi Pro League Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • Ali Al-Asmari 6' yellowcard
  • Firas Albirakan 34' goal
  • Ali Majrashi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saleh Al-Amri 79'
  • yellowcard Fawaz Al-Sagour 90'

Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 7.00pm
Al Ettifaq 2 - 2 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Firas Albirakan

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 7.00pm
Al Ittihad 3 - 1 Al Fayha
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Abderrazak Hamdallah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result

Al-Ahli 44.02% (+0.51)
Draw 25.25% (-0.14)
Al Ittihad 30.73% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.8% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 48.2% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 29.64% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 70.35% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 14.43% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 85.57% (-0.27)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 78.12% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 21.88% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 44.87% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 55.13% (-0.63)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 70.71% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.29% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.25% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 44.02%
Draw 25.24%
Al Ittihad 30.73%
Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.4% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.75% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.42% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
Al Ittihad
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 30.73%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Fabinho 35' yellowcard
  • Igor Coronado 75' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Kessie 31'
  • yellowcard Matthias Jaissle 36'
  • yellowcard Edouard Mendy 61'
  • yellowcard Riyad Mahrez 70'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 86'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Aljohani 90'+3'