Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Ittihad
44.02% ( 0.5)	25.25% ( -0.13)	30.73% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

0.43)

48.2% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

0.4)

70.35% (

-0.39)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

0.42)

21.88% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87% (

0.63)

55.13% (

-0.63)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-0.03)

29.29% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

-0.04)

65.25% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 44.02%

Al Ittihad 30.73%

Draw 25.24%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Ittihad
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.02%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.73%