Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.