Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.