Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 20
Feb 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium (Najran)

Al Okhdood
3 - 2
Al-Ahli

Collado (25'), Al Mansour (43'), Tawamba (59')
Godwin (82'), Al Muwallad (89')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kverkvelia (32' og.), Firmino (45+3' pen.)
Ibanez (86')
Ibanez (90+5')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Okhdood and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Okhdood

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fateh 0-0 Al Okhdood
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-0 Al Khaleej
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Al OkhdoodDrawAl-Ahli
28.7% (-0.231 -0.23)25.74%45.56% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.124 -0.12)51.25% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.11 -0.11)73.08% (0.11 0.11)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.238 -0.24)32.29% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.27 -0.27)68.8% (0.271 0.27)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.054999999999993 0.05)22.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.079999999999998 0.08)56% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Al Okhdood 28.7%
    Al-Ahli 45.56%
    Draw 25.74%
Al OkhdoodDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.7%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 10.83% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.56%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al-Ahli
1-0
Al Okhdood
Kessie (90+6')

Mohammed Saeed Al Muwallad (35'), Alberto Lobo Mendonca (36'), Hassan Mushaib Al Zabdani (54'), Awadh Al Yami (88+88')
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