Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 24
Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Al Fateh Club Stadium

Al Fateh
2 - 4
Al Ittihad

Al-Najdi (6'), Al-Shurafa (66')
Ali (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hamdallah (39' pen., 74'), Jota (45+4'), Al-Ghamdi (64')
Alolayan (49'), Al Hawsawi (90+9')
Alolayan (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-2 Al Khaleej
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, March 12 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl Ittihad
32.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.81% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)43.77% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 61% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.01% (0.056000000000004 0.06)40.99% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)63.38% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (0.010999999999996 0.01)24.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01)59.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (0.040000000000006 0.04)19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (0.067 0.07)50.56% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 32.41%
    Al Ittihad 43.77%
    Draw 23.8%
Al FatehDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.41%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 43.77%

How you voted: Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad

Al Fateh
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al Ittihad
100%
5
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al Ittihad
2-1
Al Fateh
Romarinho (38'), Kante (45+1')
Kadesh (12'), Romarinho (53'), Alolayan (90+5')
Saadane (30')
Sadiq Alhassan (9'), Saadane (67'), Al Saeed (82')
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