Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Al Wahda

Hamdallah (84' pen., 90+4')
Hamdallah (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ighalo (35')
Al Bukhari (37'), Makki (45+10'), Noor (58'), El Yamiq (82')
Donis (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Navbahor
Thursday, February 22 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-1 Al Tai
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Wahda
64.6% (-0.956 -0.96)20.13% (0.546 0.55)15.26% (0.412 0.41)
Both teams to score 51.65% (-0.84099999999999 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-1.627 -1.63)43.08% (1.628 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-1.628 -1.63)65.48% (1.629 1.63)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.75 -0.75)12.59% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.31% (-1.58 -1.58)38.68% (1.581 1.58)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.1% (-0.45 -0.45)40.9% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.53% (-0.406 -0.41)77.47% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 64.59%
    Al Wahda 15.26%
    Draw 20.13%
Al IttihadDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 10.67% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.292 0.29)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.361 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.13%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.269 0.27)
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 15.26%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Wahda

Al Ittihad
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
Al Wahda
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al Wahda
0-3
Al Ittihad

Noor (45+5'), De Moraes (45+6')
Romarinho (63'), Jota (67'), Coronado (73')
Hamdallah (61')