AFC Champions League
Feb 22, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Abderrazak Hamdallah 45'+6' goal
  • Toma Tabatadze 87' goal
  • Saleh Al-Amri 89' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 25' (OG)
  • redcard Jovan Dokic 90'+8'

Al Ittihad vs Navbahor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 15, 2024 2.00pm
Navbahor 0 - 0 Al Ittihad

Navbahor

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 15, 2024 2.00pm
Navbahor 0 - 0 Al Ittihad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Navbahor win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result

Al Ittihad 52.61% (-0.23)
Draw 23.98% (-0.02)
Navbahor 23.41% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.31% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.08% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 47.91% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 29.9% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 70.09% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 14.61% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 85.39% (-0.21)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 81.82% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.17% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 50.84% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 49.16% (-0.07)

Navbahor Goals

Over 0.5 65.15% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 34.84% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 28.42% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 71.58% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Al Ittihad 52.6%
Draw 23.97%
Navbahor 23.41%
Al Ittihad
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 52.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-98.98)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.97%
Navbahor
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.11% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.41%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Feb 15, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Surkhon
  • Odiljon Khamrobekov 11' yellowcard
  • Samvel Babayan 31' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Nikabadze 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fawaz Al-Sagour 53'