Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Navbahor win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Navbahor
52.61% ( -0.22)	23.98% ( -0.02)	23.41% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 53.31% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

0.32)

47.91% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

0.29)

70.09% (

-0.29)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

0.03)

18.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

0.06)

49.16% (

-0.06)

Navbahor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.15% (

0.39)

34.84% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

0.41)

71.58% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 52.6%

Navbahor 23.41%

Draw 23.97%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Navbahor
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.6%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.41%