Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Navbahor win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.