Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 24

Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
0 - 1
Al-Nassr

Firmino (57')
Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ronaldo (42', 68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-1 Al-Ahli
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Nassr
38.54% ( -0.4)	25.78% ( 0.07)	35.67% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72% (

-0.26)

49.27% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

-0.24)

71.33% (

0.23)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

-0.33)

25.08% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

-0.46)

59.77% (

0.46)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

0.07)

26.7% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

0.09)

61.95% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 38.54%

Al-Nassr 35.67%

Draw 25.78%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.54%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.67%