Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
2 - 2
Al-Ahli

Fofana (45+3'), Albirakan (49' og.)
Dembele (60'), Al Ghannam (68'), Ahmed Khateeb (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Albirakan (8'), Al-Ammar (88')
Al-Asmari (30'), Alnabit (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Ahli
27.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)23.92% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)48.97% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.47% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)66.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.012 -0.01)29.96% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)66.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.27% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (0.060000000000002 0.06)49.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 27.1%
    Al-Ahli 48.97%
    Draw 23.92%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 48.97%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Ahli

Al Ettifaq
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Al-Ahli
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Ahli
0-0
Al Ettifaq
Al-Majhad (41')
Ahmed Khateeb (28')
rhs 2.0


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