Saudi Pro League Gameweek 23
Mar 9, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
  • Grzegorz Krychowiak 54' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 73' goal
  • Moussa Dembele 89' goal
  • yellowcard Grzegorz Krychowiak 51'
  • yellowcard Hassan Al-Ali 65'

Al Ettifaq vs Abha - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ettifaq

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 2.00pm
Damac 0 - 2 Al Ettifaq
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Moussa Dembele

Abha

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 2.00pm
Abha 2 - 0 Al Tai
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Grzegorz Krychowiak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result

Al Ettifaq 61.78% (-0.77)
Draw 20.97% (+0.35)
Abha 17.24% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.29% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.86% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 43.14% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 34.46% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 65.54% (+0.81)
Over 4.5 17.86% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 82.14% (+0.60)

Al Ettifaq Goals

Over 0.5 86.57% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 13.43% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 59.6% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 40.4% (+0.98)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5 61.55% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 38.45% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.2% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Al Ettifaq 61.77%
Draw 20.97%
Abha 17.24%
Al Ettifaq
2-0 @ 10.4%
1-0 @ 10.36% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.95% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 3.5% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 61.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 5.16% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.97%
Abha
0-1 @ 4.94% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 4.74% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.36% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.24%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Mohammed Naji 24' yellowcard
  • Francois Kamano 57' yellowcard
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 90'+8' goal
  • goal Moussa Dembele 58'
  • yellowcard Hamdan Al Shamrani 63'
  • goal Robin Quaison 75'
  • goal Hamed Al Ghamdi 82'