Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.