Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 23
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
3 - 0
Abha

Krychowiak (54' og.), Toko Ekambi (73'), Dembele (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Krychowiak (51'), Al-Ali (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 2-0 Al Tai
Friday, March 1 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Abha had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAbha
61.78% (-0.763 -0.76)20.97% (0.346 0.35)17.24% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.86% (-0.809 -0.81)43.14% (0.81 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.46% (-0.805 -0.81)65.54% (0.80499999999999 0.8)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)13.43% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.97 -0.97)40.4% (0.971 0.97)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.2% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 61.77%
    Abha 17.24%
    Draw 20.97%
Al EttifaqDrawAbha
2-0 @ 10.4%
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 3.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 61.77%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.181 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.97%
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.24%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Abha

Al Ettifaq
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Abha
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Abha
1-3
Al Ettifaq
Toko Ekambi (90+8' pen.)
Naji (24'), Kamano (57')
Dembele (58'), Quaison (75'), Al Ghamdi (82')
Al Shamrani (63')