Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Abha had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Abha win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.

Result
Al Fayha	Draw	Abha
43.23% ( -1.47)	25.73% ( 0.58)	31.03% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.85% (

-2.09)

50.14% (

2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.89% (

-1.89)

72.11% (

1.89)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

-1.58)

23.08% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

-2.37)

56.92% (

2.36)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94% (

-0.45)

30.06% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81% (

-0.54)

66.19% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Al Fayha 43.23%

Abha 31.03%

Draw 25.72%

Al Fayha	Draw	Abha
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.03%