Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Ad Dammam

Al Khaleej
3 - 1
Abha

Martins (16'), Sherif (45+3'), Rodrigues (59')
Martins (38'), Rodrigues (39'), Rebocho (46'), Al-Haidari (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sami (80')
Al Kunaydiri (90+8')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Khaleej and Abha.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-2 Al Khaleej
Thursday, November 30 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 0-6 Al-Ahli
Thursday, November 30 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Khaleej win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Abha had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Khaleej win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Khaleej would win this match.

Result
Al KhaleejDrawAbha
56.86% (0.328 0.33)22.78% (-0.087 -0.09)20.36% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68% (0.056000000000004 0.06)46.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.052 0.05)68.61% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (0.13200000000001 0.13)16.06% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.56% (0.242 0.24)45.44% (-0.241 -0.24)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)36.87% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34% (-0.214 -0.21)73.66% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Al Khaleej 56.86%
    Abha 20.36%
    Draw 22.77%
Al KhaleejDrawAbha
1-0 @ 10.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.04% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 56.86%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 20.36%