Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Riyadh
2 - 1
Al-Ahli

Toure (43' pen.), Al-Harajin (84')
Al-Nowaiqi (47'), N'Dong (89'), Assiri (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kessie (45+10')
Demiral (40'), Ibanez (51')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Riyadh and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-2 Al Tai
Friday, April 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 0-3 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Ahli
10.13% (-0.266 -0.27)17.13% (-0.215 -0.22)72.74% (0.482 0.48)
Both teams to score 46.13% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.82% (0.188 0.19)42.18% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (0.187 0.19)64.59% (-0.185 -0.19)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.35% (-0.396 -0.4)48.65% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.3% (-0.287 -0.29)83.7% (0.28999999999999 0.29)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.172 0.17)10.17% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.58% (0.389 0.39)33.42% (-0.387 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Al Riyadh 10.13%
    Al-Ahli 72.73%
    Draw 17.13%
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 3.57% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 10.13%
1-1 @ 8.15% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 17.13%
0-2 @ 12.92% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.85% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.63% (0.116 0.12)
1-4 @ 4.05% (0.038 0.04)
0-5 @ 2.57% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-6 @ 0.98% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.73%

How you voted: Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli

Al Riyadh
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Al-Ahli
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Al-Ahli
3-0
Al Riyadh
Albirakan (2'), Veiga (26'), Mahrez (52')