Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 30
May 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
4 - 1
Damac

Al-Johani (7'), Albirakan (10'), Mahrez (19' pen.), Firmino (25')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Antolic (62')
Al Johani (44'), Chafai (70'), Making (83+1'), Making (90+1')
Chafai (77')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Damac.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Ahli
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Damac

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al-Taawoun
Friday, April 26 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Damac had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Damac win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawDamac
54.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)23.96%21.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 50.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.91% (0.0019999999999953 0)50.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.06%
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)38.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.85%
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 54.76%
    Damac 21.28%
    Draw 23.95%
Al-AhliDrawDamac
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Damac

Al-Ahli
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Damac
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Damac
2-2
Al-Ahli
Chafai (73'), Stanciu (90+1')
Hindi (10'), Alnabit (44')
Kessie (38'), Ibanez (90+7'), Hindi (90+6')