Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.