Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.