Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
Apr 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Al Fateh Club Stadium

Al Fateh
3 - 1
Al Raed

Djaniny (7', 60'), Zelarayan (12')
Saadane (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tavares (56')
N'Diaye (24'), Al-Jayzani (26'), Shami (39'), Hazazi (73')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al Raed.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Last Game: Abha 2-1 Al Fateh
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Raed

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 2-0 Al Hazem
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fateh would win this match.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl Raed
44.27% (0.625 0.63)23.89% (-0.137 -0.14)31.84% (-0.491 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.47% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.445 0.45)41.59% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (0.448 0.45)63.99% (-0.451 -0.45)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (0.447 0.45)19.04% (-0.448 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38% (0.736 0.74)50.62% (-0.739 -0.74)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)25.31% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.91% (-0.112 -0.11)60.09% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 44.27%
    Al Raed 31.84%
    Draw 23.89%
Al FatehDrawAl Raed
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.84%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Al Raed
1-2
Al Fateh
El Berkaoui (69' pen.)
Normann (24'), Jovicevic (25'), Al-Jayzani (57'), Al-Beshe (62'), Al Doseri (80')
Buhumaid (28'), Tello (45+3')
Al-Mogren (30'), Al-Zubaidi (75'), Rinne (90+5')