Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Abha had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.65%). The likeliest Abha win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.