Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Abha win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Al Wahda had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Abha win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Al Wahda win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Abha in this match.