Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al-Nassr

Abha
0 - 8
Al-Nassr


Al Zubaidi (14'), Krychowiak (29')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Ronaldo (11', 21', 42'), Mane (33'), Al-Sulaiheem (44'), Ghareeb (51'), Al-Aliwa (63', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Abha

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-1 Abha
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 5-1 Al Tai
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Abha had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Abha win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
AbhaDrawAl-Nassr
19.45% (-0.09 -0.09)21.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)59.32% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.67% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)40.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (0.020000000000003 0.02)63.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)34.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (-0.09 -0.09)71.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.049999999999997 0.05)13.39% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.68% (0.091000000000001 0.09)40.32% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Abha 19.45%
    Al-Nassr 59.32%
    Draw 21.23%
AbhaDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 5.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.45%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.66% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.27% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.15% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 59.32%

How you voted: Abha vs Al-Nassr

Abha
15.2%
Draw
12.1%
Al-Nassr
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
Al-Nassr
2-2
Abha
Otavio (3'), Talisca (28')
Al-Ghanam (90+7')
Bguir (36' pen.), Toko Ekambi (90+2')
Noguera (53'), Al Qumayzi (73'), Al-Jumayah (81'), Raji Al Kunaydiri (84')
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