Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for an Al Tai win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Tai
78.23% ( -0.03)	13.15% ( 0.04)	8.62% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.04% (

-0.26)

26.96% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.57% (

-0.34)

47.43% (

0.34)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.5% (

-0.06)

5.5% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.56% (

-0.17)

21.45% (

0.17)

Al Tai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14% (

-0.23)

40.86% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57% (

-0.21)

77.43% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 78.23%

Al Tai 8.62%

Draw 13.15%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Tai
2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 5.25% Total : 78.23%	1-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.15%	1-2 @ 2.61% 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 8.62%