Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 30
May 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
6 - 0
Al Wahda

Ronaldo (5', 12', 52'), Otavio (18'), Mane (45'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (88')
FT(HT: 4-0)

De Moraes (38'), Fajr (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-1 Al-Nassr
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-2 Al Hazem
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 8.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
78.53% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)13.34% (0.118 0.12)8.12% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.23% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.94% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)30.05% (0.537 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.74% (-0.652 -0.65)51.26% (0.65000000000001 0.65)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.92% (-0.139 -0.14)6.08% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.9% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)23.1% (0.387 0.39)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.61% (-0.353 -0.35)44.39% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (-0.289 -0.29)80.44% (0.28699999999999 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 78.53%
    Al Wahda 8.12%
    Draw 13.34%
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 9.88% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.02% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 6.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 3.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 78.53%
1-1 @ 6.14% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.7% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 13.34%
1-2 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.19% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 8.12%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Wahda

Al-Nassr
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Wahda
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Al Wahda
1-3
Al-Nassr
De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')