Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28

Apr 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Fayha

Al Amri (72'), Mane (76', 82')
Mane (37'), Al-Khaibari (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sakala (6')
Cimirot (28'), Sabiri (45+3')
Sakala (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al Fayha

All competitions

Last Game: Al Fayha 3-0 Al Okhdood
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Fayha
82.1% ( 0.28)	11.27% ( -0.13)	6.61% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.45% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.05% (

-0.04)

24.95% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.15% (

-0.06)

44.85% (

0.05)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.51% (

0.03)

4.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.58% (

0.11)

18.42% (

-0.11)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.96% (

-0.47)

44.03% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.84% (

-0.39)

80.15% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 82.11%

Al Fayha 6.61%

Draw 11.28%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Fayha
3-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 6.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 5.14% Total : 82.11%	1-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 11.28%	1-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 6.61%