Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 2-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.