Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.