Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
1 - 3
Al Shabab

Hamdallah (58')
Haji (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diallo (48'), Carlos (82'), Al-Juwayr (90+10')
Sharahili (41'), Kanabah (52'), Al-Monassar (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Shabab, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 2-3 Al Ittihad
Saturday, April 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 5-0 Abha
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Shabab
37.55% (-0.262 -0.26)25.02% (0.077000000000002 0.08)37.42% (0.185 0.19)
Both teams to score 57.69% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-0.357 -0.36)45.75% (0.358 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.34 -0.34)68.07% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.301 -0.3)24.01% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.431 -0.43)58.27% (0.432 0.43)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)24.08% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.36% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 37.55%
    Al Shabab 37.42%
    Draw 25.02%
Al IttihadDrawAl Shabab
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.087 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.42%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab

Al Ittihad
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
Al Shabab
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Al Shabab
1-0
Al Ittihad
Carlos (14')
Cuellar (45+2'), Banega (61'), Al-Monassar (73'), Al-Muwallad (83'), Saiss (89')