Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
Apr 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium) (Ar-Rass (Rass))

Al Hazem
2 - 3
Al Ittihad

Al-Thani (60'), Toze (63')
Benzema (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Amri (21'), Ricardo (57' og.), Hegazy (90+6' og.)
Al-Shamrani (34'), Hegazy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Hazem and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Hazem

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 2-0 Al Hazem
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-0 Al-Taawoun
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al HazemDrawAl Ittihad
17.11% (-0.038 -0.04)20.15% (0.115 0.11)62.73% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.495 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.4% (-0.611 -0.61)39.6% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (-0.639 -0.64)61.94% (0.63800000000001 0.64)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-0.414 -0.41)36.46% (0.411 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-0.421 -0.42)73.24% (0.419 0.42)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)12.06% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.42% (-0.438 -0.44)37.58% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Al Hazem 17.11%
    Al Ittihad 62.73%
    Draw 20.15%
Al HazemDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.44% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.11%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.84% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.188 0.19)
1-3 @ 7% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 62.73%

How you voted: Al Hazem vs Al Ittihad

Al Hazem
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Al Ittihad
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al Ittihad
2-2
Al Hazem
Benzema (26'), Kadesh (81')
Al-Farhan (49'), Al-Ghamdi (90+5')
Al-Thani (63'), Selemani (86')
Abusabaan (58'), Viana (74')
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