Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.