Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
Apr 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium

Al Shabab
5 - 0
Abha

Carrasco (45+1', 90+3'), Diallo (57'), Carlos (78', 84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Jumayah (28'), Al Sahafi (79')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Abha.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Last Game: Al Tai 0-0 Al Shabab
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Abha

All competitions
Last Game: Abha 2-1 Al Fateh
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Abha had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAbha
68.39% (-1.717 -1.72)17.56% (0.679 0.68)14.05% (1.041 1.04)
Both teams to score 57.88% (0.478 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.51% (-0.803 -0.8)33.49% (0.807 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.72% (-0.924 -0.92)55.28% (0.927 0.93)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.07% (-0.581 -0.58)8.93% (0.5841 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.5% (-1.428 -1.43)30.5% (1.431 1.43)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (0.927 0.93)36.44% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (0.924 0.92)73.23% (-0.92100000000001 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 68.39%
    Abha 14.05%
    Draw 17.56%
Al ShababDrawAbha
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.119 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 7.65% (-0.314 -0.31)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-0 @ 4.62% (-0.324 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.25% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.223 -0.22)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 68.39%
1-1 @ 7.94% (0.312 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.179 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.56%
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.253 0.25)
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 14.05%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Abha

Al Shabab
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Abha
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Abha
2-1
Al Shabab
Bguir (73'), Krychowiak (82')
Al Shammry (90+7')
Al-Muwallad (76')
Santos (68'), Saiss (81')
Santos (72')